Confederations Cup . Final

Chile vs Germany analysis

Chile Germany
91 ELO 95
11.9% Tilt -0.7%
123º General ELO ranking 33º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.8%
Chile
20.9%
Draw
54.2%
Germany

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
Chile
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
54.3%
Win probability
Germany
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chile
-8%
-4%
Germany

ELO progression

Chile
Germany
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chile
Chile
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2017
PRT
Portugal
0 - 0
Chile
CHL
48%
24%
29%
91 92 1 0
25 Jun. 2017
CHL
Chile
1 - 1
Australia
AUS
70%
18%
12%
91 86 5 0
22 Jun. 2017
DEU
Germany
1 - 1
Chile
CHL
65%
19%
16%
91 94 3 0
18 Jun. 2017
CMR
Cameroon
0 - 2
Chile
CHL
17%
23%
60%
91 84 7 0
13 Jun. 2017
ROU
Romania
3 - 2
Chile
CHL
27%
26%
47%
92 86 6 -1

Matches

Germany
Germany
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2017
DEU
Germany
4 - 1
Mexico
MEX
65%
19%
16%
94 92 2 0
25 Jun. 2017
DEU
Germany
3 - 1
Cameroon
CMR
86%
10%
4%
94 84 10 0
22 Jun. 2017
DEU
Germany
1 - 1
Chile
CHL
65%
19%
16%
94 91 3 0
19 Jun. 2017
AUS
Australia
2 - 3
Germany
DEU
11%
16%
74%
94 86 8 0
10 Jun. 2017
DEU
Germany
7 - 0
San Marino
SMR
93%
6%
1%
94 24 70 0
X