WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda. Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Chad vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TCD
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
TCD
93%
5%
1%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GIN
1 - 2
TCD
84%
11%
4%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
TCD
3 - 1
MWI
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
TCD
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SLE
0 - 0
CIV
13%
21%
66%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
SLE
0 - 2
MRT
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
MRT
2 - 1
SLE
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SDN
1 - 0
SLE
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
COD
3 - 1
SLE
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |