CAF Qualifying Grupo A. Jor. 5

Chad vs Namibia analysis

Chad Namibia
49 ELO 63
0.8% Tilt -16.1%
4446º General ELO ranking 1600º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.6%
Chad
24.2%
Draw
55.2%
Namibia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
Chad
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.2%
Win probability
Namibia
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chad
-9%
-3%
Namibia

ELO progression

Chad
Namibia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chad
Chad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 2020
TCD
Chad
1 - 1
Guinea
GIN
10%
17%
74%
48 72 24 0
11 Nov. 2020
GIN
Guinea
1 - 0
Chad
TCD
84%
12%
5%
49 72 23 -1
17 Nov. 2019
TCD
Chad
0 - 2
Mali
MLI
6%
11%
83%
49 75 26 0
13 Nov. 2019
NAM
Namibia
2 - 1
Chad
TCD
66%
21%
14%
50 65 15 -1
13 Oct. 2019
TCD
Chad
1 - 0
Liberia
LBR
19%
19%
62%
48 58 10 +2

Matches

Namibia
Namibia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2021
NAM
Namibia
0 - 0
Zambia
ZMB
23%
26%
51%
62 75 13 0
23 Jan. 2021
NAM
Namibia
0 - 1
Tanzania
TZA
50%
26%
25%
63 58 5 -1
19 Jan. 2021
GIN
Guinea
3 - 0
Namibia
NAM
65%
21%
14%
64 72 8 -1
17 Nov. 2020
NAM
Namibia
1 - 2
Mali
MLI
23%
26%
52%
64 76 12 0
13 Nov. 2020
MLI
Mali
1 - 0
Namibia
NAM
67%
20%
13%
65 76 11 -1
X