Burundi vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.5%
71.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BDI
1 - 2
GAB
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CMR
3 - 0
BDI
72%
20%
8%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
NAM
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
IDN
2 - 2
BDI
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 3
ALG
14%
23%
63%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ALG
9%
21%
70%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
ALG
3 - 1
SOM
92%
6%
1%
|
86 | 33 | 53 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 1
EGY
49%
24%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
5 - 1
CPV
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |