Burkina Faso vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 1
BFA
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 0
BFA
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 2
BFA
72%
17%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
BFA
1 - 0
MTN
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
COD
1 - 2
BFA
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
LBY
3 - 1
KWT
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
1 - 2
LBY
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 4
LBY
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
CMR
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SWZ
0 - 1
LBY
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |