Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LTU
3 - 1
BGR
13%
22%
65%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
BGR
4 - 1
GEO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BGR
1 - 0
LTU
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
BGR
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 0
BGR
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 0
NIR
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
CHE
11%
21%
67%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
NIR
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
LTU
1 - 4
NIR
16%
26%
58%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 0
NIR
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |