UEFA Nations League Liga B. Jor. 5

Bulgaria vs Finland analysis

Bulgaria Finland
80 ELO 82
-5.7% Tilt -3.9%
608º General ELO ranking 368º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.4%
Bulgaria
26.5%
Draw
29.1%
Finland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
Bulgaria
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.1%
Win probability
Finland
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bulgaria
-15%
-6%
Finland

ELO progression

Bulgaria
Finland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bulgaria
Bulgaria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2020
BGR
Bulgaria
3 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
88%
9%
3%
80 45 35 0
14 Oct. 2020
BGR
Bulgaria
0 - 1
Wales
WLS
40%
28%
32%
80 85 5 0
11 Oct. 2020
FIN
Finland
2 - 0
Bulgaria
BGR
46%
26%
28%
81 80 1 -1
08 Oct. 2020
BGR
Bulgaria
1 - 3
Hungary
HUN
43%
25%
32%
81 82 1 0
06 Sep. 2020
WLS
Wales
1 - 0
Bulgaria
BGR
53%
25%
22%
82 85 3 -1

Matches

Finland
Finland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2020
FRA
France
0 - 2
Finland
FIN
88%
10%
3%
81 95 14 0
14 Oct. 2020
FIN
Finland
1 - 0
Ireland
IRL
36%
28%
36%
81 86 5 0
11 Oct. 2020
FIN
Finland
2 - 0
Bulgaria
BGR
46%
26%
28%
80 81 1 +1
07 Oct. 2020
POL
Poland
5 - 1
Finland
FIN
73%
17%
10%
81 88 7 -1
06 Sep. 2020
IRL
Ireland
0 - 1
Finland
FIN
64%
22%
14%
81 87 6 0
X