Brazil vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1998 |
BRA
0 - 3
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1998 |
BRA
1 - 1
NLD
68%
18%
15%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1998 |
BRA
3 - 2
DNK
83%
12%
5%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1998 |
BRA
4 - 1
CHL
87%
9%
4%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1998 |
BRA
1 - 2
NOR
85%
10%
4%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
YUG
1 - 1
CHE
72%
17%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1998 |
NLD
2 - 1
YUG
49%
23%
27%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1998 |
USA
0 - 1
YUG
12%
20%
68%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1998 |
DEU
2 - 2
YUG
46%
23%
30%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
YUG
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |