Brazil vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.7%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 1
TUN
87%
10%
3%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 0
GHA
88%
9%
3%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 1
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 5
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 4
BRA
3%
13%
84%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BHR
1 - 5
SRB
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
SRB
40%
27%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SRB
4 - 1
SWE
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SVN
2 - 2
SRB
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SWE
0 - 1
SRB
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |