Brazil vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
PAN
89%
9%
2%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ZAF
0 - 5
BRA
5%
13%
82%
|
97 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHL
79%
14%
7%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HND
0 - 5
BRA
6%
15%
79%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
ZMB
92%
7%
1%
|
98 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 1
SRB
40%
28%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SRB
2 - 1
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRL
1 - 2
SRB
60%
23%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
RUS
1 - 1
SRB
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SRB
5 - 1
MKD
65%
22%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |