Copa America . Final

Brazil vs Peru analysis

Brazil Peru
97 ELO 87
-0.1% Tilt 16.1%
General ELO ranking 116º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
79.2%
Brazil
14.4%
Draw
6.4%
Peru

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
Brazil
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.4%
Win probability
Peru
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Brazil
-5%
-3%
Peru

ELO progression

Brazil
Peru
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brazil
Brazil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2019
BRA
Brazil
2 - 0
Argentina
ARG
64%
20%
15%
97 92 5 0
28 Jun. 2019
BRA
Brazil
0 - 0
Paraguay
PRY
83%
13%
5%
97 84 13 0
22 Jun. 2019
PER
Peru
0 - 5
Brazil
BRA
9%
17%
74%
97 87 10 0
19 Jun. 2019
BRA
Brazil
0 - 0
Venezuela
VEN
82%
13%
5%
97 84 13 0
15 Jun. 2019
BRA
Brazil
3 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
86%
11%
4%
97 75 22 0

Matches

Peru
Peru
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jul. 2019
CHL
Chile
0 - 3
Peru
PER
61%
21%
18%
87 89 2 0
29 Jun. 2019
URY
Uruguay
0 - 0
Peru
PER
63%
20%
16%
87 90 3 0
22 Jun. 2019
PER
Peru
0 - 5
Brazil
BRA
9%
17%
74%
87 97 10 0
18 Jun. 2019
BOL
Bolivia
1 - 3
Peru
PER
25%
25%
50%
87 75 12 0
15 Jun. 2019
VEN
Venezuela
0 - 0
Peru
PER
37%
26%
37%
87 83 4 0
X