Brazil vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
80%
14%
5%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
VEN
82%
13%
5%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
PRY
0 - 2
BRA
6%
15%
80%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
82%
13%
5%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 2
ECU
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ECU
1 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |