Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
67%
19%
14%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BRA
16%
21%
64%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
11%
19%
71%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
ECU
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
URU
3 - 2
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
COL
4 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
COL
17%
24%
59%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
31%
26%
42%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |