Brazil vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
87%
9%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
PRY
2 - 2
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
3 - 1
CSK
82%
11%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHL
86%
9%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
3 - 1
ENG
72%
15%
13%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
5 - 0
COL
92%
6%
3%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
SUN
4 - 4
COL
84%
10%
6%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
URY
2 - 1
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |