Brazil vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 1
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 5
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 4
BRA
3%
13%
84%
|
98 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
CHL
81%
14%
6%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 0
PRY
87%
10%
3%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ARG
5 - 0
EST
92%
7%
2%
|
95 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 3
ARG
33%
26%
41%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
20%
24%
55%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |