Brazil vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
FRA
0 - 2
BRA
40%
28%
32%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
BRA
16%
26%
58%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 5
BRA
33%
29%
38%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1992 |
URY
1 - 0
BRA
27%
29%
44%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1992 |
ECU
1 - 1
CRI
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
URY
2 - 1
CRI
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
CRI
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1992 |
SLV
1 - 1
CRI
30%
26%
45%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
CRI
2 - 0
SLV
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |