Bosnia vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BIH
0 - 1
GEO
62%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
BIH
80%
14%
7%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
BIH
0 - 2
UKR
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BIH
1 - 3
FIN
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
BIH
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
LUX
1 - 3
NIR
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LUX
0 - 3
IRL
16%
24%
60%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
AZE
1 - 3
LUX
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PRT
5 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 93 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LUX
0 - 1
SRB
16%
26%
58%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | -1 |