Belarus vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
BLR
1 - 0
JOR
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
WLS
5 - 1
BLR
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
BLR
0 - 2
CZE
15%
22%
62%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
BLR
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
BLR
0 - 1
BEL
2%
10%
88%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
LTU
1 - 1
KWT
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
NIR
1 - 0
LTU
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 4
CHE
7%
19%
75%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LTU
3 - 1
BGR
13%
22%
65%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
5 - 0
LTU
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 93 | 38 | 0 |