Belarus vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
LVA
0 - 1
BLR
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
EST
2 - 0
BLR
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
AND
2 - 0
BLR
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
BGR
4 - 1
BLR
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
BLR
0 - 0
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
71 | 98 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2000 |
PRT
3 - 0
WLS
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2000 |
WLS
0 - 3
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 100 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
WLS
1 - 2
FIN
62%
24%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
QAT
0 - 1
WLS
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
WLS
0 - 2
CHE
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |