Benin vs Tanzania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TZA
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
COD
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
MDG
0 - 1
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
SLE
1 - 0
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
ZMB
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
TZA
0 - 1
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
TZA
3 - 2
MDG
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
COD
1 - 1
TZA
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
TZA
2 - 0
MWI
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
TZA
1 - 0
LBY
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |