Benin vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LSO
0 - 0
BEN
19%
23%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GAB
0 - 2
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
SLE
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 1
BEN
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TGO
1 - 3
EGY
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
EGY
1 - 0
TGO
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
TGO
1 - 1
SDN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
KEN
1 - 1
TGO
30%
27%
42%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
TGO
0 - 1
COM
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |