Benin vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
TGO
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LSO
0 - 0
BEN
19%
23%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GAB
0 - 2
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
SLE
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
SLE
0 - 0
NGA
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
NGA
4 - 4
SLE
79%
16%
6%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NGA
1 - 1
TUN
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
NGA
0 - 1
DZA
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 4
NGA
13%
24%
63%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |