Benin vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 3
CMR
8%
20%
73%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 2
TGO
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
TGO
0 - 1
BEN
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
BEN
1 - 1
TGO
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 1996 |
BEN
4 - 2
BFA
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2000 |
GIN
2 - 1
GNQ
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
GNQ
2 - 3
MLI
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
GNQ
1 - 0
PAK
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
TCD
1 - 0
GNQ
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1999 |
DOM
2 - 4
GNQ
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |