Belgium vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 0
COL
59%
24%
17%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1998 |
BEL
0 - 0
ENG
29%
28%
43%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
FRA
1 - 0
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
BEL
1 - 1
ROU
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 2
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
3 - 2
PRY
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1998 |
NLD
5 - 1
PRY
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1998 |
CZE
1 - 0
PRY
55%
22%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 1
PRY
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ITA
3 - 1
PRY
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |