Belgium vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 2
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
PRT
2 - 1
BEL
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 1
ITA
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 0
FIN
74%
19%
7%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
SCT
61%
24%
16%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
DEU
4 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
22%
24%
54%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
ROU
57%
25%
18%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |