Belgium vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
17%
22%
62%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 1
BEL
9%
18%
73%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
BEL
6 - 1
POL
75%
15%
10%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 4
NLD
54%
21%
24%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
BFA
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
NLD
3 - 2
WLS
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 1
BEL
9%
18%
73%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 2
NLD
10%
20%
70%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
WLS
1 - 0
UKR
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
POL
2 - 1
WLS
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |