Belgium vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
GRC
89%
9%
3%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
8 - 0
BLR
91%
7%
2%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CZE
1 - 1
BEL
13%
20%
67%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 1
WLS
86%
10%
4%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
4 - 2
DNK
65%
19%
16%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
HRV
1 - 1
ARM
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
HRV
3 - 0
MLT
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 47 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HRV
1 - 0
CYP
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SVN
1 - 0
HRV
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
HRV
2 - 3
PRT
31%
24%
45%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |