Austria vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
PRT
0 - 0
AUT
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
AUT
2 - 3
HUN
43%
21%
36%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
AUT
9 - 1
PRT
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
80%
11%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1954 |
WLS
1 - 2
NIR
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1953 |
SCT
3 - 3
WLS
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1953 |
WLS
1 - 4
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1953 |
YUG
5 - 2
WLS
80%
11%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1953 |
FRA
6 - 1
WLS
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |