WC Qual. Asia Repesca. Final
Global 3-2
Australia vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
SYR
1 - 1
AUS
29%
26%
46%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 1
THA
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 0
AUS
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CHL
1 - 1
AUS
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 1
AUS
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
SYR
1 - 1
AUS
29%
26%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
IRN
2 - 2
SYR
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
SYR
3 - 1
QAT
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
MYS
1 - 2
SYR
7%
15%
78%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
SYR
2 - 2
CHN
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |