Australia vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
AUS
1 - 1
ISR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
ISR
1 - 1
AUS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
HKG
0 - 2
AUS
28%
24%
48%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1976 |
SGP
0 - 1
AUS
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
IDN
1 - 1
AUS
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1977 |
AUS
1 - 1
ISR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1977 |
ISR
1 - 1
GRC
61%
20%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1976 |
ISR
1 - 3
AUT
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
ISR
1 - 1
AUS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
GRC
0 - 1
ISR
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |