World Cup Grupo D. Jor. 3

Australia vs Denmark analysis

Australia Denmark
87 ELO 90
0.1% Tilt 1.5%
91º General ELO ranking 49º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.7%
Australia
24.4%
Draw
44.9%
Denmark

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
Australia
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.9%
Win probability
Denmark
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Australia
Denmark
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Australia
Australia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 1
Australia
AUS
27%
25%
49%
87 83 4 0
22 Nov. 2022
FRA
France
4 - 1
Australia
AUS
74%
16%
10%
87 94 7 0
25 Sep. 2022
NZL
New Zealand
0 - 2
Australia
AUS
11%
22%
67%
87 67 20 0
22 Sep. 2022
AUS
Australia
1 - 0
New Zealand
NZL
79%
14%
7%
87 67 20 0
13 Jun. 2022
AUS
Australia
0 - 0
Peru
PER
47%
25%
28%
87 88 1 0

Matches

Denmark
Denmark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
FRA
France
2 - 1
Denmark
DNK
64%
20%
16%
90 94 4 0
22 Nov. 2022
DNK
Denmark
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
75%
17%
9%
91 83 8 -1
25 Sep. 2022
DNK
Denmark
2 - 0
France
FRA
26%
25%
49%
90 94 4 +1
22 Sep. 2022
HRV
Croatia
2 - 1
Denmark
DNK
41%
26%
33%
90 90 0 0
13 Jun. 2022
DNK
Denmark
2 - 0
Austria
AUT
65%
20%
16%
90 85 5 0
X