Australia vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2010 |
AUS
2 - 1
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AUS
1 - 0
IDN
84%
13%
4%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
KWT
2 - 2
AUS
14%
22%
64%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
OMN
1 - 2
AUS
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
AUS
1 - 0
OMN
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2010 |
DNK
2 - 0
SEN
75%
17%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AUT
2 - 1
DNK
31%
26%
43%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
THA
0 - 3
DNK
19%
25%
56%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
DNK
5 - 1
SGP
82%
14%
5%
|
94 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
POL
1 - 3
DNK
36%
27%
37%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |