Argentina vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12%
4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
URY
0 - 0
ARG
30%
25%
46%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
SGP
0 - 6
ARG
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 48 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
65%
20%
15%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
BOL
2 - 0
ARG
9%
20%
71%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHL
65%
20%
15%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 0
COL
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
ECU
1 - 1
VEN
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
USA
1 - 1
VEN
70%
18%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
CHL
3 - 1
VEN
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
VEN
2 - 2
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |