WC Qual. S.America . Jor. 5

Argentina vs Uruguay analysis

Argentina Uruguay
94 ELO 91
7% Tilt -2.9%
General ELO ranking 35º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.6%
Argentina
20%
Draw
16.5%
Uruguay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
Argentina
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.5%
Win probability
Uruguay
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Argentina
+7%
+10%
Uruguay

ELO progression

Argentina
Uruguay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Argentina
Argentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2021
PRY
Paraguay
0 - 0
Argentina
ARG
14%
22%
64%
94 85 9 0
10 Sep. 2021
ARG
Argentina
3 - 0
Bolivia
BOL
90%
8%
3%
94 73 21 0
03 Sep. 2021
VEN
Venezuela
1 - 3
Argentina
ARG
10%
21%
69%
94 84 10 0
11 Jul. 2021
ARG
Argentina
1 - 0
Brazil
BRA
24%
22%
54%
94 98 4 0
07 Jul. 2021
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Colombia
COL
63%
21%
17%
94 91 3 0

Matches

Uruguay
Uruguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2021
URY
Uruguay
0 - 0
Colombia
COL
52%
24%
24%
91 91 0 0
10 Sep. 2021
URY
Uruguay
1 - 0
Ecuador
ECU
63%
20%
17%
91 87 4 0
06 Sep. 2021
URY
Uruguay
4 - 2
Bolivia
BOL
85%
11%
4%
91 73 18 0
03 Sep. 2021
PER
Peru
1 - 1
Uruguay
URY
26%
25%
49%
91 87 4 0
04 Jul. 2021
URY
Uruguay
0 - 0
Colombia
COL
48%
24%
28%
91 91 0 0
X