Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 3
ARG
5%
17%
78%
|
96 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
77%
15%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
IDN
0 - 2
ARG
4%
15%
81%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 0
AUS
77%
15%
8%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ARG
7 - 0
CUW
89%
8%
2%
|
95 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
PRY
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PRY
0 - 0
PER
35%
27%
37%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PRY
2 - 0
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
CHL
3 - 2
PRY
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
PRY
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |