Argentina vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARG
38%
26%
37%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
64%
20%
15%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
VEN
0 - 2
ARG
19%
23%
59%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
QAT
0 - 2
ARG
17%
22%
60%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
USA
0 - 3
MEX
40%
26%
34%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 0
USA
47%
25%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
HTI
0 - 1
MEX
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
MTQ
2 - 3
MEX
10%
19%
72%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |