Argentina vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
60%
24%
16%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 2
MEX
40%
28%
32%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1993 |
CRI
0 - 2
MEX
31%
31%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
PER
2 - 4
MEX
32%
30%
37%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
60%
24%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |