Argentina vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1987 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
35%
28%
37%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1987 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
ARG
1 - 1
PER
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1987 |
ARG
0 - 1
PAR
71%
19%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1987 |
ARG
1 - 3
ITA
55%
26%
19%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1987 |
CHI
2 - 1
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1987 |
COL
3 - 0
PAR
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1987 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
ECU
3 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1987 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |