Copa America Grupo A. Jor. 1

Argentina vs Chile analysis

Argentina Chile
94 ELO 89
7.6% Tilt -2.2%
General ELO ranking 123º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.4%
Argentina
18.9%
Draw
13.7%
Chile

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
Argentina
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
Chile
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Argentina
+7%
-11%
Chile

ELO progression

Argentina
Chile
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Argentina
Argentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2021
COL
Colombia
2 - 2
Argentina
ARG
33%
27%
41%
94 91 3 0
04 Jun. 2021
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Chile
CHL
72%
17%
11%
94 89 5 0
18 Nov. 2020
PER
Peru
0 - 2
Argentina
ARG
22%
25%
53%
93 87 6 +1
13 Nov. 2020
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Paraguay
PRY
84%
12%
5%
94 85 9 -1
13 Oct. 2020
BOL
Bolivia
1 - 2
Argentina
ARG
9%
19%
72%
94 74 20 0

Matches

Chile
Chile
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jun. 2021
CHL
Chile
1 - 1
Bolivia
BOL
84%
11%
5%
89 74 15 0
04 Jun. 2021
ARG
Argentina
1 - 1
Chile
CHL
72%
17%
11%
89 94 5 0
27 Mar. 2021
CHL
Chile
2 - 1
Bolivia
BOL
84%
11%
5%
89 73 16 0
17 Nov. 2020
VEN
Venezuela
2 - 1
Chile
CHL
33%
26%
42%
89 85 4 0
14 Nov. 2020
CHL
Chile
2 - 0
Peru
PER
62%
21%
17%
89 88 1 0
X