Algeria vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
DZA
7 - 0
TZA
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TZA
2 - 2
DZA
16%
25%
59%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
DZA
1 - 0
SEN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
DZA
1 - 2
GIN
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LSO
1 - 3
DZA
13%
24%
63%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
ETH
1 - 2
AGO
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
CMR
0 - 0
ETH
73%
19%
8%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COD
3 - 0
ETH
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
COG
2 - 1
ETH
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 4
COG
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |