Saudi Arabia vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 1
KOR
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SAU
0 - 0
THA
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KGZ
0 - 2
SAU
13%
21%
66%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 1
OMN
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 2
SAU
7%
17%
76%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 1
JOR
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
1 - 1
ARE
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
2 - 1
LBN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 1
QAT
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHN
0 - 0
TJK
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |