Germany vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
DEU
0 - 1
MEX
66%
19%
16%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
DEU
2 - 1
SAU
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
AUT
2 - 1
DEU
12%
18%
70%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
DEU
0 - 1
BRA
39%
23%
38%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
DEU
1 - 1
ESP
49%
22%
28%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 0
KOR
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SWE
0 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SWE
0 - 0
DNK
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
ROU
1 - 0
SWE
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 2
CHL
44%
25%
31%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |