Germany vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
11%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
6 - 0
DEU
49%
22%
30%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 1
UKR
81%
12%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 0
CZE
85%
10%
5%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
DEU
3 - 3
CHE
79%
13%
8%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
UKR
1 - 2
DEU
15%
20%
65%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ENG
4 - 0
ISL
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
DNK
2 - 1
ISL
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
HUN
2 - 1
ISL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ISL
1 - 2
BEL
10%
18%
72%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ISL
0 - 3
DNK
23%
25%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |