Germany vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2002 |
WLS
1 - 0
DEU
19%
24%
57%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
DEU
7 - 0
KWT
82%
12%
5%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
DEU
0 - 1
ARG
46%
24%
30%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
DEU
4 - 2
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
DEU
7 - 1
ISR
80%
13%
6%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
AUT
0 - 0
CMR
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
AUT
2 - 0
SVK
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
TUR
5 - 0
AUT
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
AUT
0 - 1
TUR
71%
18%
12%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
ISR
1 - 1
AUT
37%
24%
39%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |