Albania vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALB
91%
8%
1%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 1
ALB
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 0
LIE
83%
14%
3%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ISR
0 - 3
ALB
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
LUX
2 - 1
ALB
12%
21%
68%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 1
MKD
82%
14%
4%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
ISR
75%
18%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 0
ITA
67%
20%
14%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
5 - 0
LIE
86%
12%
2%
|
93 | 26 | 67 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 0
URY
50%
26%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |