Segureña A vs Athletic Fregenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segureña A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
SEG
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SEG
3 - 1
ACE
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPR
0 - 2
SEG
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 0
HER
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SEG
0 - 0
CDP
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 0
BIE
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
5 - 0
ATH
88%
8%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATH
21%
21%
58%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 0
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 0
ACE
68%
17%
14%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |