FK Sabail vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
10º
9º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 2
ZIR
21%
27%
53%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 0
SEB
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SEB
4 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
SEB
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 1
TUR
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
ZIR
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKN
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
5 - 2
FCK
80%
15%
5%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |