River Plate vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COR
2 - 2
RIP
65%
19%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RIP
2 - 0
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TRE
3 - 1
RIP
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 1
RIP
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RIP
2 - 1
TRE
32%
28%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
BAH
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 0
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
BAH
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
BAH
1 - 2
TRE
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |