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Copa do Brasil. 1/16

Aggregate 1-1. Ida 1-0
SD Juazeirense Cruzeiro
24 ELO 62
28% Tilt -46%
4892º General ELO ranking 218º
259º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
46.7%
SD Juazeirense
28%
Draw
25.2%
Cruzeiro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
SD Juazeirense
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
25.2%
Win probability
Cruzeiro
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%