SD Compostela vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
COM
3 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
COM
0 - 1
UDO
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
POL
2 - 0
COM
26%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
COM
4 - 1
BOU
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 2
COM
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
OUR
2 - 1
ARO
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
OUR
0 - 1
SIL
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 2
OUR
23%
24%
54%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
OUR
3 - 2
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
UDO
0 - 2
OUR
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |